Study · Language models & market data
Can Trump’s posts help predict oil prices?
I used a language model to label Donald Trump’s Truth Social posts about oil, then tested whether they predict if the oil price rises or falls in the 30 seconds after each post. On 181 posts, the model called the direction right 60% of the time, against 50% for guessing.
- Python · LLM labelling · scikit-learn · Tick data
See study: oil.majdjamal.se →


